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Uniform Lower Quantile Series

Abstract

A finite measure and arbitrarily reliable uniform lower quantiles force a nonnegative series to diverge almost everywhere, without independence.

Theorem 1.1 (Almost-everywhere divergence from marginal lower quantiles).

Proof. Machine-checked in Lean as D5/S0/Asymptotics/WeightedProbability/UniformLowerQuantileSeries.ae_tsum_eq_top_of_uniform_lower_quantiles (✓ std3). ∎

Source. Repository-derived.

Commentary.

The weights and measurable variables are nonnegative extended real numbers. Error and scale are finite positive real numbers. For each error one scale works for every index, rather than a different scale for each index.

Restricting to a positive-measure event with bounded total determines the error as half its measure. Every restricted summand then has a uniform integral lower bound. Tonelli’s theorem contradicts the finite integral of the bounded total.

For an absolute discrepancy with uniform quadratic-scale marginal tightness, the reciprocal square-root logarithmic profile has these lower quantiles against the divergent weights one divided by (j+1) log(j+2). A predictable hazard bounded below by that profile consequently has almost-sure accumulated divergence.

References