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Conditional Choice-Outcome Chain Rule

Abstract

Conditional entropy separates a choice from its subsequent outcome.

Theorem 1.1 (Choice-outcome conditional entropy obeys the chain rule).

Proof. Machine-checked in Lean as D5/S3/Entropy/Observation/ConditionalChoiceOutcomeChainRule.conditional_choice_outcome_chain_rule (✓ std3). ∎

Source. Repository-derived.

Commentary.

The finite joint mass is carried directly on public context, choice, and outcome. Its context-choice marginal is the canonical xyProjection.

The first summand measures the choice left undecided by the public context; the second measures the outcome left undecided after both context and choice are supplied.

References