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Own-history conditional distributions determine the trajectory law

Abstract

Own-history conditional distributions determine the trajectory law.

Theorem 1.1 (Own-history conditional distributions determine the trajectory law).

Lean statement: D5/S3/Observer/ProbabilisticClosure/TrajectoryLaws/HasLawTrajectory.has_law_traj_measure

Proof. Machine-checked in Lean as D5/S3/Observer/ProbabilisticClosure/TrajectoryLaws/HasLawTrajectory.has_law_traj_measure (✓ std3). ∎

Citation. Rémy Degenne and Paulo Rauber (2026). Own-history conditional distributions determine the trajectory law. URL: https://github.com/LeanMachineLearning/LML/tree/357e9dd450b76d6ff85955280bb4721a2c520442.

Commentary.

For any measurable sample space with a finite measure, measurable coordinates with the specified initial probability law and own-history conditional distributions have the corresponding Ionescu–Tulcea trajectory law.

The initial law is a probability measure; the actual sample measure need only be finite. Coordinates may have dependent measurable types. Each successor conditional law is given the coordinates through the current time. The finite-history induction and projective-limit uniqueness identify the complete trajectory distribution.

References