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slug: bhattacharjee-mandal-bhattacharya-2026-union-closed-count-refutation bibkey: bhattacharjee2026unionclosed doi: 10.48550/arXiv.2610.02833 url: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.02833v1 triage: theorem motivation_gids:

  • D5/S3/Combinatorics/ErdosUlam/UnionClosedCountRefutation.result

The proposed union-closed counting threshold is false

Problem

Bhattacharjee–Mandal–Bhattacharya, arXiv:2610.02833v1, Question 9.2:

Is there a constant C such that U(n,N) < 2^{N−1} for all large n and all N ≥ n^{C log₂ log₂ n}?

Proposition 5.4 defines the labelled count and its proposed application:

Let U(n,N) be the number of union-closed families ℱ ⊆ 2^[n] with |ℱ| = N. If U(n,N) < 2^{N−1}, then F(n) < N.

Section 1 defines union-closed by requiring A ∪ B ∈ ℱ whenever A,B ∈ ℱ. The Lean definition counts finite families of subsets of Fin n, with no quotient by ground-set permutations. The claim quantifies over a real constant C, a natural cutoff, every dimension above that cutoff, and every natural N meeting the real-power threshold. Its result is the literal negation of that claim. The logarithms and real power are Mathlib’s total functions; the proof uses only dimensions at least 24, where both logarithms have positive arguments and the usual interpretation applies.

Motivation

The proposed estimate would combine with Proposition 5.4 to bound the union-closed extremal function at a quasipolynomial scale. A failure of the counting estimate prevents this universal counting route, without settling the extremal problem itself.

Gap

This counting assertion is Question 9.2 of Bhattacharjee–Mandal–Bhattacharya, arXiv:2610.02833v1, the only version. A positive answer would give via their Proposition 5.4. The Erdős Problems forum thread for #1183 does not address this counting assertion. Chojecki’s preprint proves ⌈(n+1)/2⌉ ≤ F(n) ≤ n^{log₂ n + O(log log n)} and ⌈(n+1)/2⌉ ≤ f(n) ≤ (3+o(1)) n log₂² n; its closing questions ask for the order of growth of f(n) and F(n) and about union-closed families of bounded free rank; it does not consider the counting assertion of Question 9.2. MathDB title and author searches find no entry.

Route

For r ≥ 4 put n = 6r and

There are B subsets of size 5r, by complementation. Embed q disjoint quadruples into that level. For each of the 4^q functions choosing one member of each quadruple, include the q chosen sets and all subsets of size greater than 5r. Every strict superset of a chosen set lies in the upper tail, so the family is upward-closed and therefore union-closed. Complementation shows that the upper tail has exactly H members. Each family has size N; different choice functions give different families. Thus 4^q ≤ U(6r,N).

For each i < r the binomial recurrence gives

Summing and shifting the index gives (4r+1)H ≤ r(B−1). Since r ≥ 1, this implies 4H < B and H ≤ q. Consequently

Vandermonde’s identity, using the term that chooses one point from an added six-point block, gives B ≥ 6^r by induction. Since 3^r ≥ 4 for r ≥ 4, 4·2^r ≤ 6^r ≤ B, hence q ≥ 2^r and N ≥ 2^r. This is stronger than the size estimate needed in the counting route.

For any real C, let L = log₂(6r) and K = |C|/log 2. For r ≥ 1, L ≥ 1, log₂ L ≥ 0 and log₂ L ≤ L/log 2. Hence C L log₂ L ≤ K L². The standard limit L²/r → 0 gives C L log₂ L ≤ r eventually. Changing the exponential base yields

Choose r to satisfy this threshold and exceed the given dimension cutoff. The claimed strict count is incompatible with U(6r,N) ≥ 2^N > 2^{N−1}. The argument accommodates every real C, including nonpositive constants.

Falsifier

The route requires labelled counting, disjoint quadruples, exact family cardinality, injectivity of the choice map, and closure under every union. It also requires the strict tail inequality and a threshold estimate valid for each fixed real C at arbitrarily large natural dimensions. All these requirements occur on the live proof path to result; a quotient count or a finite list of dimensions would answer a different question.

Evidence

The Lean module is D5/S3/Combinatorics/ErdosUlam/UnionClosedCountRefutation.lean. Its named construction lemma is level_selection_injection, and its strict binomial estimate is binomial_tail_bound. The final settling declaration is result : ¬ claim. The proof is parameterized by arbitrary natural r and uses finite-type cardinality theorems and a genuine asymptotic limit, rather than evaluating any particular value of U. No finite certificate is required.

Triage

  • [proved: Lean result] The eventual quasipolynomial counting assertion in Question 9.2 is false.
  • [proved: Lean counting_counterexample] For every r ≥ 4, the explicit size N = H + ⌊B/4⌋ satisfies N ≥ 2^r and U(6r,N) ≥ 2^N.
  • [proved: Lean eventual_threshold] For each real C, every sufficiently large r satisfies (6r)^(C log₂ log₂(6r)) ≤ 2^r.
  • [open] Determine sharper labelled counting estimates at these or other family sizes. The lower bound is not an exact formula for U.
  • [open] Resolve the underlying Erdős–Ulam extremal problem or replace this failed universal counting route. Proposition 5.4’s conditional implication is not refuted or formally verified by this module.

ASSUMED-UNVERIFIED

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